TrendPronostici — Analisi incontro

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 2026/27 24/10/2026 · 16:00 Programmata

Warrenpoint Town Casa

VS Milltown

Glenavon FC Ospite

Warrenpoint Townultime 8 registrate

N V P V P N V P

1,38 punti/gara 2,00 gol fatti 1,50 gol subiti

Glenavon FCultime 8 registrate

V V V N P V N V

2,13 punti/gara 2,50 gol fatti 1,13 gol subiti

Predizione locale

Segnali statistici principali

Partita equilibrata · nessun favorito 1X2 Nessun segnale netto. Qualita dei dati insufficiente. Accordo modelli 94,4%. Le percentuali sono mostrate come scenari, non come pronostico.

3 segnali selezionati da 147 mercati calcolati. Sono esclusi eventi quasi certi, duplicati e linee estreme che non aggiungono valore all'analisi.

Esito finale 1 · Vittoria casa Storico combinato 40,0% · 90 rilevazioni

40,0%

Esito finale 2 · Vittoria ospite Storico combinato 35,6% · 90 rilevazioni

36,9%

Esito finale X · Pareggio Storico combinato 24,4% · 90 rilevazioni

23,2%

Controllo modelli

Confronto 1X2

Come nasce la previsione

Poisson + Elo → Ensemble

94,4% accordo Poisson–Elo

Poissongol attesi e distribuzione dei risultati + Eloforza relativa e vantaggio del campo → Ensembleprobabilità finale calibrata

Pesi statistici di partenza: Poisson 60% · Elo 40%. La calibrazione adattiva può ritararli usando le prestazioni storiche disponibili.

Poisson modello sorgente

138,6% X23,8% 237,6%

Elo modello sorgente

143,5% X18,2% 238,4%

Ensemble stima calibrata non pubblicata

140,0% X23,2% 236,9%

Modello locale	1	X	2	Verdetto	Sintesi
Dixon_coles_challenger	38,2%	24,5%	37,3%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Elo	43,5%	18,2%	38,4%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Ensemble	40,0%	23,2%	36,9%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Goal_engine	38,6%	23,8%	37,6%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Lightgbm_market_aware	21,8%	45,9%	32,2%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Lightgbm_no_market	21,8%	45,9%	32,2%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Poisson	38,6%	23,8%	37,6%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Xgboost_market_aware	23,0%	44,7%	32,3%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Xgboost_no_market	23,0%	44,7%	32,3%	—	Calcolo matematico locale

Forma recente

Ultimi risultati

Risultati ufficiali importati, ordinati dal più recente.

Warrenpoint Town

N 03/10/2026Warrenpoint Town 1–1 Annagh United V 25/09/2026Rathfriland 0–2 Warrenpoint Town P 19/09/2026Institute 2–0 Warrenpoint Town V 12/09/2026Warrenpoint Town 6–2 Moyola Park P 05/09/2026Warrenpoint Town 0–1 Newington Youth N 28/08/2026Loughgall 3–3 Warrenpoint Town V 21/08/2026Newry City AFC 0–3 Warrenpoint Town P 15/08/2026Warrenpoint Town 1–3 Ards

Glenavon FC

V 03/10/2026Moyola Park 0–3 Glenavon FC V 25/09/2026Glenavon FC 4–1 Loughgall V 19/09/2026Glenavon FC 1–0 Newington Youth N 12/09/2026Ballinamallard United 1–1 Glenavon FC P 05/09/2026Dundela 3–2 Glenavon FC V 28/08/2026Glenavon FC 3–1 Rathfriland N 22/08/2026Armagh City 2–2 Glenavon FC V 15/08/2026Glenavon FC 4–1 Strabane Athletic

Contesto competitivo

Calendario e classifica

Posizione corrente e calendario stagionale delle due squadre.

Calendario delle squadre

G.	Data	Partita	Ris.
1	08/08	H&W Welders – Warrenpoint Town	3–0
1	08/08	Glenavon FC – Ards	1–3
2	11/08	Warrenpoint Town – Armagh City	2–0
2	11/08	Newry City AFC – Glenavon FC	1–4
3	15/08	Glenavon FC – Strabane Athletic	4–1
3	15/08	Warrenpoint Town – Ards	1–3
4	21/08	Newry City AFC – Warrenpoint Town	0–3
4	22/08	Armagh City – Glenavon FC	2–2
5	28/08	Glenavon FC – Rathfriland	3–1
5	28/08	Loughgall – Warrenpoint Town	3–3
6	05/09	Dundela – Glenavon FC	3–2
6	05/09	Warrenpoint Town – Newington Youth	0–1
7	12/09	Ballinamallard United – Glenavon FC	1–1
7	12/09	Warrenpoint Town – Moyola Park	6–2
8	19/09	Glenavon FC – Newington Youth	1–0
8	19/09	Institute – Warrenpoint Town	2–0
9	25/09	Glenavon FC – Loughgall	4–1
9	25/09	Rathfriland – Warrenpoint Town	0–2
10	03/10	Warrenpoint Town – Annagh United	1–1
10	03/10	Moyola Park – Glenavon FC	0–3
11	10/10	Warrenpoint Town – Strabane Athletic	—
11	10/10	Annagh United – Glenavon FC	—
12	16/10	Glenavon FC – H&W Welders	—
12	17/10	Ballinamallard United – Warrenpoint Town	—
13	24/10	Warrenpoint Town – Glenavon FC	—
14	31/10	Dundela – Warrenpoint Town	—
14	31/10	Queen's University – Glenavon FC	—
15	07/11	Glenavon FC – Institute	—
15	07/11	Warrenpoint Town – Queen's University	—
16	13/11	Loughgall – Glenavon FC	—
16	13/11	Newington Youth – Warrenpoint Town	—
17	21/11	Glenavon FC – Newry City AFC	—
17	21/11	Warrenpoint Town – Institute	—
18	28/11	Warrenpoint Town – H&W Welders	—
18	28/11	Newington Youth – Glenavon FC	—
19	04/12	Glenavon FC – Dundela	—
19	05/12	Ards – Warrenpoint Town	—
20	12/12	Warrenpoint Town – Ballinamallard United	—
20	12/12	Strabane Athletic – Glenavon FC	—
21	18/12	Glenavon FC – Ballinamallard United	—
21	19/12	Armagh City – Warrenpoint Town	—
22	26/12	Glenavon FC – Annagh United	—
22	26/12	Warrenpoint Town – Newry City AFC	—
23	01/01	Strabane Athletic – Warrenpoint Town	—
23	01/01	H&W Welders – Glenavon FC	—
24	16/01	Glenavon FC – Moyola Park	—
24	16/01	Warrenpoint Town – Loughgall	—
25	23/01	Queen's University – Warrenpoint Town	—
25	23/01	Institute – Glenavon FC	—
26	30/01	Glenavon FC – Warrenpoint Town	—
27	06/02	Ards – Glenavon FC	—
27	06/02	Warrenpoint Town – Dundela	—
28	19/02	Annagh United – Warrenpoint Town	—
28	20/02	Glenavon FC – Queen's University	—
29	27/02	Glenavon FC – Armagh City	—
29	27/02	Warrenpoint Town – Rathfriland	—
30	06/03	Moyola Park – Warrenpoint Town	—
30	06/03	Rathfriland – Glenavon FC	—

Classifica corrente

#	Squadra	PG	DR	Pt
1	Annagh United	10	11	21
2	Glenavon FC	10	12	20
3	Newington Youth	10	6	20
4	Queen's University	10	13	19
5	H&W Welders	10	2	15
6	Newry City AFC	10	-2	15
7	Warrenpoint Town	10	3	14
8	Ballinamallard United	10	0	14
9	Institute	9	2	13
10	Loughgall	10	-5	13
11	Ards	10	-1	12
12	Dundela	10	-2	11
13	Moyola Park	10	-10	11
14	Strabane Athletic	9	-8	9
15	Rathfriland	10	-13	6
16	Armagh City	10	-8	5

Trend longitudinali

Rendimento nelle stagioni

Indicatori calcolati sulle partite concluse e andamento del rating Elo.

Warrenpoint Town

20263 partite

Punti/partita0,00

Gol fatti/partita0,67

Vittorie0,0%

Over 2.566,7%

Goal66,7%

2026/2710 partite

Punti/partita1,40

Gol fatti/partita1,80

Vittorie40,0%

Over 2.550,0%

Goal40,0%

Glenavon FC

20263 partite

Punti/partita0,33

Gol fatti/partita0,33

Vittorie0,0%

Over 2.533,3%

Goal33,3%

2026/2710 partite

Punti/partita2,00

Gol fatti/partita2,50

Vittorie60,0%

Over 2.580,0%

Goal80,0%

Andamento rating Elo

Aggiornato dal batch locale

Warrenpoint TownGlenavon FC

Segnali statistici principali

Confronto 1X2

Poisson + Elo → Ensemble

Ultimi risultati

Warrenpoint Town

Glenavon FC

Calendario e classifica

Calendario delle squadre

Classifica corrente

Rendimento nelle stagioni

Warrenpoint Town

Glenavon FC

Andamento rating Elo

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